Financial, Economic and Social Mood Update (February 1, 2025)
Financial, Economic and Social Mood Update (February 1, 2025) The automotive industry has been one of the leading industries worldwide for almost 140 years. It is now experiencing the biggest and most significant changes since then due to market over-saturation and excess production capacity (largely due to human demographic changes resulting in an ageing population and due to the over-use or abuse of credit financing) and due to the change into new technologies beyond the traditional internal combustion engine powered by crude oil products such as gasoline and diesel fuel. Companies based in mainland China and those selling their retail automotive products in China now comprise 35 percent of the global market with Chinese companies manufacturing and selling 80 percent of all electric vehicles in the world. The entire global automotive market is forecast to contract (or shrink) by half in less than one decade or less than 10 years from today – perhaps as soon as just five (5) years from now. A channel on YouTube which reports on this daily is called “the Electric Viking.” All of the so-called “legacy” automakers based in the USA, Japan, South Korea, Germany, France and Italy may not survive these changes. The largest automakers in the UK (formerly MG-Rover) and in Sweden (Volvo Cars) are already owned by Chinese companies – by SAIC (Shanghai Automotive Industrial Corporation) and by Geely, respectively. This alarming phenomenon is not limited to the automotive industry and is also affecting major motorcycle manufacturers such as Kawasaki of Japan (down 23 percent in annual unit sales volume since their record year of 2019). Suzuki of Japan manufactures passenger cars & trucks plus motorcycles – they have also experienced a sales decline although not as severe (down 4 percent since 2018). Even one very large Chinese automaker has experienced…